Round 18 · simulation 11 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-mcts-index

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.036 to 6.14.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.14 (+0.036)
In: 6.11
Rank by index
94
In: 95
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
220
In: 197
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.633.72+0.0989 → 8
Strategic Infrastructure5.815.78−0.0319
National Security3.833.830.0009
Human Capital7.177.16−0.00412
Information & Influence7.437.52+0.0929
Governance & Integrity7.507.49−0.00617
Financial Strength6.426.41−0.01523
Production & Innovation6.346.38+0.04516 → 15
Trade & Investment6.836.97+0.14513 → 12

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 145, plus 197 carried in. Maintenance 101. Spent 22 on actions (buy 13, partner 9). 220 carried over.

  • BuyArtificial Intelligence4 credits for 0.51 levelsmcts
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation4 credits for 0.57 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access4 credits for 0.56 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing4 credits for 0.41 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion4 credits for 0.52 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 9 to 8; Production & Innovation Tier 16 to 15; Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 12.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.62+0.510.000.00+0.10
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.58+0.610.000.00−0.03
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.49+0.520.000.00−0.02
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.41+0.410.000.000.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.27+0.300.000.00−0.03
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.26+0.280.000.00−0.01