Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.009 to 7.25.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.25 (+0.010)
- In: 7.24
- Rank by index
- 77
- In: 78
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 50
- In: 50
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.02 | 3.06 | +0.046 | 12 → 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.90 | 7.92 | +0.019 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.60 | 4.61 | +0.005 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.00 | 8.11 | +0.118 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.33 | 8.34 | +0.010 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.87 | 8.85 | −0.020 | 14 → 15 |
| Financial Strength | 8.63 | 8.56 | −0.061 | 17 → 18 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.60 | 7.64 | +0.033 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.23 | 8.17 | −0.065 | 12 → 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 150, plus 50 carried in. Maintenance 125. Spent 25 on actions (build 5, buy 15, partner 5). 50 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.26 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills5 credits for 0.57 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance5 credits for 0.60 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies5 credits for 0.68 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.61 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −2.6 points this round.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 12 to 10; Governance & Integrity Tier 14 to 15; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 18; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 13.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.64 | +0.68 | 0.00 | −0.04 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.62 | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.56 | +0.61 | 0.00 | −0.05 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.55 | +0.60 | 0.00 | −0.06 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.39 | +0.46 | 0.00 | −0.07 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.23 | +0.31 | 0.00 | −0.08 | 0.00 |