Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.006 to 7.25.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.25 (−0.006)
- In: 7.25
- Rank by index
- 78
- In: 77
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 50
- In: 47
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.06 | 3.11 | +0.041 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.92 | 7.94 | +0.020 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.61 | 4.61 | +0.005 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.11 | 8.21 | +0.093 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.34 | 8.30 | −0.038 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.85 | 8.83 | −0.021 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 8.56 | 8.50 | −0.064 | 18 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.64 | 7.58 | −0.058 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.17 | 8.14 | −0.027 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 149, plus 47 carried in. Maintenance 125. Spent 23 on actions (build 5, buy 5, partner 14). 50 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.24 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills5 credits for 0.50 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence5 credits for 0.63 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation5 credits for 0.63 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication5 credits for 0.53 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −2.6 points this round.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.60 | +0.57 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.52 | +0.63 | 0.00 | −0.11 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.27 | +0.34 | 0.00 | −0.07 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.23 | +0.32 | 0.00 | −0.08 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.21 | +0.26 | 0.00 | −0.04 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |