Round 7 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-mcts-index

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.046 to 7.29.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.29 (+0.045)
In: 7.25
Rank by index
77
In: 78
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
64
In: 47
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.113.23+0.12110
Strategic Infrastructure7.947.94+0.0087
National Security4.614.62+0.0089
Human Capital8.218.31+0.10012
Information & Influence8.308.35+0.0549
Governance & Integrity8.838.830.00015
Financial Strength8.508.54+0.03918
Production & Innovation7.587.58+0.00314
Trade & Investment8.148.22+0.07813

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 164, plus 47 carried in. Maintenance 125. Spent 23 on actions (build 5, buy 9, partner 9). 64 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.24 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills5 credits for 0.48 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access5 credits for 0.60 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence5 credits for 0.61 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies5 credits for 0.60 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.61+0.610.000.000.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.60+0.600.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.55+0.550.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.32+0.320.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.30+0.300.000.00−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.26+0.260.000.00−0.01