Round 2034
Round 8 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.052 to 7.34.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.34 (+0.052)
- In: 7.29
- Rank by index
- 76
- In: 77
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 76
- In: 61
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.23 | 3.28 | +0.056 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.94 | 7.95 | +0.005 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.62 | 4.63 | +0.007 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.31 | 8.38 | +0.073 | 12 → 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.35 | 8.45 | +0.099 | 9 → 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.83 | 8.83 | 0.000 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 8.54 | 8.58 | +0.045 | 18 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.58 | 7.67 | +0.088 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.22 | 8.31 | +0.090 | 13 → 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 165, plus 61 carried in. Maintenance 126. Spent 25 on actions (buy 15, partner 10). 76 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.25 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance5 credits for 0.58 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.54 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.59 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access5 credits for 0.65 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 12 to 11; Information & Influence Tier 9 to 8; Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 12.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.62 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.60 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.58 | +0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.54 | +0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.43 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.25 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |