Round 9 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-mcts-index

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.044 to 7.39.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.39 (+0.044)
In: 7.34
Rank by index
76
In: 76
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
86
In: 72
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.283.47+0.18710
Strategic Infrastructure7.957.95+0.0057
National Security4.634.63+0.0089
Human Capital8.388.42+0.03711
Information & Influence8.458.51+0.0608
Governance & Integrity8.838.830.00015
Financial Strength8.588.63+0.04618
Production & Innovation7.677.68+0.00814
Trade & Investment8.318.36+0.04812

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 167, plus 72 carried in. Maintenance 127. Spent 25 on actions (buy 15, partner 10). 86 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.25 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.54 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation5 credits for 0.67 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence5 credits for 0.65 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies5 credits for 0.64 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.65+0.650.000.000.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.64+0.640.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.54+0.540.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.33+0.340.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.32+0.320.000.00−0.01
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.31+0.310.000.000.00