Round 2036
Round 10 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.047 to 7.43.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.43 (+0.047)
- In: 7.39
- Rank by index
- 75
- In: 76
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 96
- In: 82
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.47 | 3.54 | +0.065 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.95 | 7.96 | +0.009 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.63 | 4.64 | +0.010 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.42 | 8.44 | +0.023 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.51 | 8.72 | +0.210 | 8 → 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.83 | 8.83 | 0.000 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 8.63 | 8.68 | +0.045 | 18 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.68 | 7.69 | +0.009 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.36 | 8.41 | +0.049 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 168, plus 82 carried in. Maintenance 129. Spent 25 on actions (buy 10, partner 15). 96 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.25 levelsmcts
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.53 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication5 credits for 0.57 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation5 credits for 0.66 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance5 credits for 0.57 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 8 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.67 | +0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.58 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.53 | +0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.29 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.25 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.20 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |