Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.046 to 7.48.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.48 (+0.046)
- In: 7.43
- Rank by index
- 75
- In: 75
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 105
- In: 91
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.54 | 3.67 | +0.133 | 10 → 9 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.96 | 7.97 | +0.012 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.64 | 4.65 | +0.008 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.44 | 8.45 | +0.013 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.72 | 8.78 | +0.060 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.83 | 8.83 | 0.000 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 8.68 | 8.72 | +0.047 | 18 → 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.69 | 7.70 | +0.010 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.41 | 8.54 | +0.130 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 169, plus 91 carried in. Maintenance 130. Spent 25 on actions (buy 10, partner 15). 105 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.25 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.53 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence5 credits for 0.63 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication5 credits for 0.57 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection5 credits for 0.55 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 10 to 9; Financial Strength Tier 18 to 17.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.77 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.57 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.53 | +0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.33 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.28 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.25 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |