Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.051 to 7.53.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.53 (+0.051)
- In: 7.48
- Rank by index
- 73
- In: 75
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 113
- In: 100
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.67 | 3.80 | +0.132 | 9 → 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.97 | 7.99 | +0.016 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.65 | 4.66 | +0.013 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.45 | 8.46 | +0.002 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.78 | 8.79 | +0.006 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.83 | 8.83 | 0.000 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 8.72 | 8.77 | +0.049 | 17 → 16 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.70 | 7.85 | +0.151 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.54 | 8.63 | +0.090 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 171, plus 100 carried in. Maintenance 132. Spent 25 on actions (buy 20, partner 5). 113 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.24 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.52 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies5 credits for 0.63 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.58 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.39 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 9 to 8; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 16.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.63 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.60 | +0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.52 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.40 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.28 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.27 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |