Round 2039
Round 13 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.039 to 7.57.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.57 (+0.039)
- In: 7.53
- Rank by index
- 72
- In: 73
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 123
- In: 108
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.80 | 3.93 | +0.132 | 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.99 | 8.01 | +0.017 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.66 | 4.67 | +0.008 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.46 | 8.46 | +0.003 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.79 | 8.79 | +0.006 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.83 | 8.83 | +0.001 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 8.77 | 8.82 | +0.054 | 16 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.85 | 7.92 | +0.070 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.63 | 8.69 | +0.057 | 12 → 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 174, plus 108 carried in. Maintenance 134. Spent 26 on actions (buy 15, partner 10). 123 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.24 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.51 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing5 credits for 0.61 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access5 credits for 0.63 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.39 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 11.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.61 | +0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.51 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.39 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.32 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.28 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 |