Round 14 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-mcts-index

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.050 to 7.62.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.62 (+0.049)
In: 7.57
Rank by index
72
In: 72
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
132
In: 116
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.934.12+0.1918
Strategic Infrastructure8.018.03+0.0187
National Security4.674.68+0.0109
Human Capital8.468.46+0.00311
Information & Influence8.798.86+0.0657
Governance & Integrity8.838.84+0.00115
Financial Strength8.828.86+0.03316
Production & Innovation7.927.99+0.06914
Trade & Investment8.698.74+0.05711

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 177, plus 116 carried in. Maintenance 135. Spent 26 on actions (buy 21, partner 5). 132 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.39 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.51 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing5 credits for 0.61 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies5 credits for 0.61 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation5 credits for 0.65 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.61+0.610.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.61+0.610.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.51+0.510.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.41+0.390.000.00+0.02
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.33+0.330.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.32+0.320.000.000.00