Round 18 · simulation 5 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-mcts-index

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 5 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.042 to 7.02.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.02 (+0.041)
In: 6.98
Rank by index
80
In: 81
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
228
In: 212
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.404.41+0.0147
Strategic Infrastructure6.766.77+0.0079
National Security4.474.47+0.0069
Human Capital7.717.72+0.01411
Information & Influence8.468.52+0.0627
Governance & Integrity8.288.28−0.00216
Financial Strength7.287.26−0.02122
Production & Innovation7.647.77+0.12811
Trade & Investment7.787.95+0.16811

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 165, plus 212 carried in. Maintenance 123. Spent 26 on actions (buy 10, partner 16). 228 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.33 levelsmctsahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.59 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access5 credits for 0.64 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics5 credits for 0.60 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation5 credits for 0.64 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.63+0.630.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.59+0.590.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.33+0.330.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.32+0.320.000.000.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.30+0.300.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.26+0.270.000.00−0.02