Round 2043
Round 17 of 20 in simulation 5 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.273 to 6.98.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.98 (−0.272)
- In: 7.25
- Rank by index
- 81
- In: 78
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 223
- In: 204
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 4.22 | 4.40 | +0.176 | 8 → 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.20 | 6.76 | −0.438 | 8 → 9 |
| National Security | 4.58 | 4.47 | −0.111 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.97 | 7.71 | −0.258 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.65 | 8.46 | −0.198 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.55 | 8.28 | −0.268 | 15 → 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.79 | 7.28 | −0.512 | 21 → 22 |
| Production & Innovation | 8.07 | 7.64 | −0.427 | 11 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.20 | 7.78 | −0.417 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 174, plus 204 carried in. Maintenance 129. Spent 26 on actions (buy 16, partner 10). 223 carried over.
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation5 credits for 0.62 levelsmcts
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.48 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies5 credits for 0.59 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access5 credits for 0.62 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection5 credits for 0.55 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Core disaster S07. −21.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 7; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 8 to 9; Governance & Integrity Tier 15 to 16; Financial Strength Tier 21 to 22.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Financial System Depth & Access | −0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.84 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.83 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.85 | +0.05 |
| Transport Infrastructure | −0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.77 | +0.01 |
| Social Infrastructure | −0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.68 | +0.02 |
| Industrial & Sectoral Base | −0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.66 | 0.00 |