Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 11 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.014 to 15.65.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 15.65 (−0.014)
- In: 15.66
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 905
- In: 689
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.05 | 15.91 | −0.138 | 2 → 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.65 | 15.57 | −0.075 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.29 | 14.23 | −0.060 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 16.77 | 17.29 | +0.525 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 15.23 | 15.30 | +0.074 | 3 → 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.53 | 15.46 | −0.063 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 15.46 | 15.41 | −0.046 | 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.05 | 15.91 | −0.132 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 15.97 | 15.76 | −0.212 | 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 987, plus 689 carried in. Maintenance 624. Spent 147 on actions (build 88, buy 29, partner 29). 905 carried over.
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills29 credits for 2.10 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by 0 per cent
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling29 credits for 1.82 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 7 per cent
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation29 credits for 1.06 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Advanced Education by 1 per cent
- BuildAdvanced Education29 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 2 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation29 credits for 2.41 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
- Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −20.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.42 | +1.45 | 0.00 | −0.03 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.30 | +1.33 | 0.00 | −0.03 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +1.09 | +1.21 | 0.00 | −0.11 | −0.01 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +1.02 | +1.06 | 0.00 | −0.04 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.69 | +0.73 | 0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 |
| Advanced Education | +0.50 | +0.53 | 0.00 | −0.03 | 0.00 |