Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 11 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.025 to 15.68.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 15.68 (+0.025)
- In: 15.65
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 961
- In: 860
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.91 | 15.78 | −0.139 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.57 | 15.50 | −0.070 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.23 | 14.17 | −0.059 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.29 | 17.73 | +0.431 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 15.30 | 15.69 | +0.387 | 2 → 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.46 | 15.40 | −0.064 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 15.41 | 15.33 | −0.081 | 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 15.91 | 15.78 | −0.131 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 15.76 | 15.71 | −0.046 | 3 → 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 871, plus 860 carried in. Maintenance 622. Spent 148 on actions (build 59, partner 89). 961 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance30 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access30 credits for 2.32 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education30 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation30 credits for 2.01 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks30 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −6.8 points this round.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +2.10 | +2.21 | 0.00 | −0.11 | −0.01 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.41 | +1.45 | 0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.29 | +1.33 | 0.00 | −0.03 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.91 | +1.16 | 0.00 | −0.25 | −0.01 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.69 | +0.73 | 0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.65 | +0.88 | 0.00 | −0.22 | −0.01 |