Round 2041
Round 15 of 20 in simulation 11 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.112 to 16.19.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.19 (−0.112)
- In: 16.30
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 5
- Domains at Tier 1
- 5
- In: 4
- Credits carried
- 1,666
- In: 1,595
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.07 | 15.92 | −0.157 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.60 | 15.34 | −0.267 | 2 |
| National Security | 13.64 | 13.27 | −0.368 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.25 | 18.33 | +0.075 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.25 | 17.08 | −0.174 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.30 | 15.27 | −0.028 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 15.61 | 15.61 | +0.005 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.27 | 16.36 | +0.084 | 2 → 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 18.73 | 18.55 | −0.179 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,079, plus 1,595 carried in. Maintenance 846. Spent 162 on actions (build 130, buy 32). 1,666 carried over.
- BuyFinancial Infrastructure32 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts
- BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls32 credits for 1.32 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildEarly Childhood Development32 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption32 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base32 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −15.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industrial & Sectoral Base | +0.86 | +1.01 | 0.00 | −0.15 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +0.79 | +1.40 | 0.00 | −0.62 | 0.00 |
| Maritime Power | −0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.65 | +0.02 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.65 | +0.03 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | −0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.65 | +0.05 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | −0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.59 | 0.00 |