Round 2042
Round 16 of 20 in simulation 11 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.064 to 16.13.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.13 (−0.064)
- In: 16.19
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 5
- In: 5
- Credits carried
- 1,709
- In: 1,583
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.92 | 15.97 | +0.050 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.34 | 15.18 | −0.153 | 2 |
| National Security | 13.27 | 13.21 | −0.062 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.33 | 18.26 | −0.070 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.08 | 16.94 | −0.138 | 1 → 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.27 | 15.53 | +0.266 | 3 → 1 |
| Financial Strength | 15.61 | 15.35 | −0.260 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.36 | 16.40 | +0.048 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 18.55 | 18.30 | −0.254 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,077, plus 1,583 carried in. Maintenance 789. Spent 162 on actions (build 97, buy 65). 1,709 carried over.
- BuyRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls32 credits for 1.02 levelsmctsahead of Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls by 0 per cent
- BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance32 credits for 1.44 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence32 credits for 1.40 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation32 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption32 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −12.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 1 to 2; Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.32 | +1.40 | 0.00 | −0.10 | +0.02 |
| Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls | +1.19 | +1.29 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |
| Industrial & Sectoral Base | +0.83 | +1.01 | 0.00 | −0.18 | 0.00 |
| Financial Infrastructure | +0.60 | +0.78 | 0.00 | −0.18 | 0.00 |
| Government Effectiveness & Public Administration | +0.54 | +0.70 | 0.00 | −0.17 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.46 | +0.01 |