Round 3 · simulation 1 · cmaes-dev.dev-est-cmaes-receding

Round 2029

Round 3 of 4 in simulation 1 of Estonia, evolution strategy, 4 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.083 to 11.69.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.69 (+0.083)
In: 11.60
Rank by index
31
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
189
In: 124
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.386.52+0.1397
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.86+0.0015
National Security7.547.540.0006
Human Capital14.5614.560.0003
Information & Influence10.4810.84+0.3566
Governance & Integrity15.4615.460.0003
Financial Strength13.0813.09+0.0099
Production & Innovation12.8112.82+0.0055
Trade & Investment13.2513.49+0.2376 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 394, plus 124 carried in. Maintenance 270. Spent 58 on actions (partner 58). 189 carried over.

  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks12 credits for 0.95 levelscmaes
  • PartnerDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance12 credits for 1.11 levelscmaes
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation12 credits for 1.18 levelscmaes
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy12 credits for 1.04 levelscmaes
  • PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.92 levelscmaes

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Space Technologies+0.95+0.950.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.59+0.590.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.56+0.560.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.55+0.550.000.000.00
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.52+0.520.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.47+0.470.000.000.00