Round 2022
Round 26 of 30 in simulation 11 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 0 actions, Clean power threshold, and the index −0.040 to 1.87.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2022 (the end of 2021) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 1.87 (−0.041)
- In: 1.91
- Rank by index
- 191
- In: 191
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 0.33 | 0.32 | −0.012 | 22 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 1.66 | 1.62 | −0.040 | 14 → 18 |
| National Security | 2.16 | 2.10 | −0.063 | 13 → 14 |
| Human Capital | 3.63 | 3.58 | −0.053 | 17 → 18 |
| Information & Influence | 2.27 | 2.21 | −0.063 | 21 → 22 |
| Governance & Integrity | 4.26 | 4.24 | −0.027 | 22 |
| Financial Strength | 1.30 | 1.29 | −0.016 | 42 |
| Production & Innovation | 1.04 | 0.98 | −0.061 | 36 → 37 |
| Trade & Investment | 0.56 | 0.54 | −0.029 | 27 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2022: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 13. Maintenance 13 of the 23 needed, so 45 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over. 5 actions could not be paid for.
- Upside event: Clean power threshold S15. +2.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 14 to 18; National Security Tier 13 to 14; Human Capital Tier 17 to 18; Information & Influence Tier 21 to 22; Production & Innovation Tier 36 to 37.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Land Power | −0.16 | 0.00 | −0.12 | 0.00 | −0.04 |
| Force Generation & Mobilisation | −0.16 | 0.00 | −0.14 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −0.11 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | −0.10 | 0.00 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.02 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | −0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | −0.11 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | −0.10 | 0.00 | −0.07 | 0.00 | −0.03 |