Round 2023
Round 27 of 30 in simulation 11 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 0 actions, Debt service reset, and the index −0.033 to 1.84.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2023 (the end of 2022) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 1.84 (−0.033)
- In: 1.87
- Rank by index
- 192
- In: 191
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 0.32 | 0.31 | −0.009 | 22 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 1.62 | 1.58 | −0.038 | 18 |
| National Security | 2.10 | 2.03 | −0.069 | 14 |
| Human Capital | 3.58 | 3.52 | −0.052 | 18 |
| Information & Influence | 2.21 | 2.16 | −0.048 | 22 |
| Governance & Integrity | 4.24 | 4.21 | −0.024 | 22 |
| Financial Strength | 1.29 | 1.28 | −0.009 | 42 |
| Production & Innovation | 0.98 | 0.95 | −0.032 | 37 |
| Trade & Investment | 0.54 | 0.52 | −0.015 | 27 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2023: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 13. Maintenance 13 of the 22 needed, so 43 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over. 5 actions could not be paid for.
- Upside event: Debt service reset S11. +1.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Land Power | −0.17 | 0.00 | −0.11 | 0.00 | −0.05 |
| Force Generation & Mobilisation | −0.15 | 0.00 | −0.13 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −0.13 | 0.00 | −0.05 | 0.00 | −0.08 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −0.12 | 0.00 | −0.09 | 0.00 | −0.03 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | −0.10 | 0.00 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.03 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | −0.09 | 0.00 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.03 |