Round 2015
Round 19 of 30 in simulation 21 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 0 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.655 to 3.00.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2015 (the end of 2014) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 3.00 (−0.655)
- In: 3.66
- Rank by index
- 170
- In: 156
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 1.17 | 0.92 | −0.244 | 15 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 3.77 | 2.93 | −0.840 | 12 → 13 |
| National Security | 3.75 | 3.43 | −0.318 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 5.07 | 4.47 | −0.596 | 16 → 17 |
| Information & Influence | 4.19 | 3.36 | −0.834 | 15 → 17 |
| Governance & Integrity | 5.63 | 5.15 | −0.480 | 19 |
| Financial Strength | 3.46 | 2.48 | −0.975 | 30 → 35 |
| Production & Innovation | 3.19 | 2.48 | −0.703 | 26 → 28 |
| Trade & Investment | 2.72 | 1.82 | −0.905 | 22 → 24 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2015: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 49. Maintenance 49 of the 50 needed, so 2 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over. 10 actions could not be paid for.
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −46.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 12 to 13; Human Capital Tier 16 to 17; Information & Influence Tier 15 to 17; Financial Strength Tier 30 to 35; Production & Innovation Tier 26 to 28; Trade & Investment Tier 22 to 24.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −1.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.45 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.44 | −0.01 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −1.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.39 | −0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.63 | −0.01 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −1.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.22 | −0.04 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | −1.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.24 | −0.02 |