Round 22 · simulation 3 · cycle-003.e4-eth

Round 2018

Round 22 of 30 in simulation 3 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.010 to 4.58.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2018 (the end of 2017) and as it left it.

Capability index
4.58 (+0.010)
In: 4.57
Rank by index
129
In: 129
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
31
In: 24
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.052.05−0.00412
Strategic Infrastructure5.215.24+0.03510 → 9
National Security4.514.50−0.0098
Human Capital5.545.52−0.01315
Information & Influence4.784.77−0.00714
Governance & Integrity6.076.08+0.00519
Financial Strength4.404.40−0.00129
Production & Innovation4.434.45+0.01820
Trade & Investment4.164.23+0.07018 → 17

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2018: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 92, plus 24 carried in. Maintenance 75. Spent 9 on actions (partner 9). 31 carried over.

  • PartnerIndustrial & Sectoral Base2 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTransport Infrastructure2 credits for 0.11 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure2 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics2 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication2 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 10 to 9; Trade & Investment Tier 18 to 17.

The groups that moved most in 2018, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.26+0.240.000.00+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.25+0.240.000.00+0.01
Transport Infrastructure+0.15+0.170.000.00−0.02
Industrial & Sectoral Base+0.14+0.140.000.00+0.01
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.14+0.150.000.00−0.01
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.09+0.100.000.00−0.02