Round 23 · simulation 3 · cycle-003.e4-eth

Round 2019

Round 23 of 30 in simulation 3 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.009 to 4.59.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2019 (the end of 2018) and as it left it.

Capability index
4.59 (+0.009)
In: 4.58
Rank by index
129
In: 129
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
36
In: 29
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.052.04−0.00312
Strategic Infrastructure5.245.26+0.0179
National Security4.504.50−0.0078
Human Capital5.525.51−0.01315
Information & Influence4.774.76−0.00714
Governance & Integrity6.086.08+0.00219
Financial Strength4.404.400.00029
Production & Innovation4.454.47+0.01820 → 19
Trade & Investment4.234.30+0.07117

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2019: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 92, plus 29 carried in. Maintenance 75. Spent 9 on actions (partner 9). 36 carried over.

  • PartnerIndustrial & Sectoral Base2 credits for 0.13 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTransport Infrastructure2 credits for 0.11 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure2 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics2 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication2 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 20 to 19.

The groups that moved most in 2019, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.26+0.240.000.00+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.25+0.230.000.00+0.02
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.14+0.140.000.00−0.01
Industrial & Sectoral Base+0.14+0.140.000.000.00
Transport Infrastructure+0.09+0.110.000.00−0.02
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.04+0.050.000.00−0.01