Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.096 to 11.33.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.33 (+0.097)
- In: 11.23
- Rank by index
- 34
- In: 34
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 468
- In: 432
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.79 | 8.80 | +0.009 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 9.61 | 9.60 | −0.008 | 5 |
| National Security | 6.17 | 6.24 | +0.067 | 7 |
| Human Capital | 15.20 | 15.19 | −0.009 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.20 | 11.42 | +0.218 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 14.09 | 14.08 | −0.012 | 6 |
| Financial Strength | 11.40 | 11.64 | +0.238 | 9 → 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.29 | 12.43 | +0.139 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.32 | 12.54 | +0.223 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 365, plus 432 carried in. Maintenance 234. Spent 96 on actions (buy 38, partner 58). 468 carried over.
- PartnerMaritime Power19 credits for 1.33 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position19 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication19 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power19 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 1.00 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 10.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power | +1.57 | +1.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.99 | +1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.81 | +0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +0.80 | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.78 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.47 | +0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |