Round 15 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-index

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.108 to 11.44.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.44 (+0.108)
In: 11.33
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
490
In: 445
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.809.14+0.3435
Strategic Infrastructure9.609.61+0.0065
National Security6.246.33+0.0947
Human Capital15.1915.18−0.0091
Information & Influence11.4211.55+0.1356 → 4
Governance & Integrity14.0814.07−0.0116
Financial Strength11.6411.71+0.07010 → 8
Production & Innovation12.4312.43−0.0025
Trade & Investment12.5412.89+0.3476

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 373, plus 445 carried in. Maintenance 236. Spent 91 on actions (buy 37, partner 55). 490 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance18 credits for 0.63 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems18 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation18 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection18 credits for 1.42 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies18 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 4; Financial Strength Tier 10 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.63+1.640.000.000.00
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+1.57+1.570.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.84+0.810.000.00+0.02
Global Value Chain Position+0.79+0.790.000.00+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.75+0.780.000.00−0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.73+0.710.000.00+0.03