Round 16 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-index

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.121 to 11.56.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.56 (+0.121)
In: 11.44
Rank by index
32
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
510
In: 465
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.149.61+0.4675
Strategic Infrastructure9.619.61+0.0015
National Security6.336.42+0.0837
Human Capital15.1815.17−0.0091
Information & Influence11.5511.81+0.2624
Governance & Integrity14.0714.06−0.0086
Financial Strength11.7111.78+0.0638
Production & Innovation12.4312.43+0.0035
Trade & Investment12.8913.11+0.2256

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 380, plus 465 carried in. Maintenance 242. Spent 93 on actions (buy 56, partner 37). 510 carried over.

  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation19 credits for 1.62 levelsmctsahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence19 credits for 1.44 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks19 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies19 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence19 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.64+1.620.000.00+0.02
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.52+1.530.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+1.51+1.440.000.00+0.07
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.87+0.790.000.00+0.08
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.83+0.810.000.00+0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.71+0.710.000.000.00