Round 17 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-index

Round 2043

Round 17 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.081 to 11.64.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.64 (+0.081)
In: 11.56
Rank by index
32
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
525
In: 484
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.619.94+0.3265
Strategic Infrastructure9.619.67+0.0595
National Security6.426.44+0.0197
Human Capital15.1715.16−0.0121
Information & Influence11.8111.93+0.1164
Governance & Integrity14.0614.05−0.0086
Financial Strength11.7811.78+0.0028
Production & Innovation12.4312.43+0.0025
Trade & Investment13.1113.34+0.2306 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 385, plus 484 carried in. Maintenance 250. Spent 95 on actions (buy 57, partner 38). 525 carried over.

  • PartnerSpace Technologies19 credits for 1.09 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies19 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure19 credits for 1.15 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2043, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.56+1.560.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.11+1.110.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.81+0.790.000.00+0.03
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.81+0.800.000.00+0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.67+0.650.000.00+0.02
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.59+0.570.000.00+0.01