Round 2044
Round 18 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.048 to 11.59.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.59 (−0.048)
- In: 11.64
- Rank by index
- 32
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 533
- In: 499
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.94 | 9.97 | +0.031 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 9.67 | 9.65 | −0.014 | 5 |
| National Security | 6.44 | 6.45 | +0.011 | 7 |
| Human Capital | 15.16 | 15.15 | −0.005 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.93 | 11.89 | −0.045 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 14.05 | 13.95 | −0.105 | 6 |
| Financial Strength | 11.78 | 11.60 | −0.174 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.43 | 12.28 | −0.158 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.34 | 13.37 | +0.025 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 385, plus 499 carried in. Maintenance 255. Spent 96 on actions (build 19, buy 39, partner 39). 533 carried over.
- BuildSpace Technologies19 credits for 0.66 levelsmcts
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing19 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics19 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy19 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation19 credits for 1.06 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −27.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +1.32 | +1.52 | 0.00 | −0.20 | 0.00 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.96 | +1.06 | 0.00 | −0.10 | −0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.66 | +0.80 | 0.00 | −0.18 | +0.04 |
| Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy | +0.61 | +0.78 | 0.00 | −0.16 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +0.59 | +0.76 | 0.00 | −0.18 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.56 | +0.74 | 0.00 | −0.17 | −0.01 |