Round 9 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-index

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.123 to 11.91.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.91 (+0.123)
In: 11.78
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
192
In: 157
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.308.57+0.2676 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.87+0.0175
National Security7.737.76+0.0306
Human Capital15.3315.40+0.0741
Information & Influence11.2211.70+0.4776 → 5
Governance & Integrity15.2615.260.0004
Financial Strength12.3512.35−0.0038
Production & Innovation12.5312.57+0.0355
Trade & Investment12.4812.69+0.2095

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 374, plus 157 carried in. Maintenance 257. Spent 83 on actions (build 17, buy 33, partner 33). 192 carried over.

  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity17 credits for 0.80 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection17 credits for 1.35 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance17 credits for 1.44 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks17 credits for 1.23 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing17 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.55+1.550.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.44+1.440.000.000.00
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.75+0.750.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.69+0.710.000.00−0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.67+0.680.000.00−0.01
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.64+0.650.000.000.00