Round 10 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-index

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.101 to 12.01.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.01 (+0.101)
In: 11.91
Rank by index
29
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
204
In: 182
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.578.76+0.1975
Strategic Infrastructure10.8710.88+0.0095
National Security7.767.78+0.0256
Human Capital15.4015.47+0.0651
Information & Influence11.7011.92+0.2195
Governance & Integrity15.2615.26−0.0024
Financial Strength12.3512.36+0.0118
Production & Innovation12.5712.75+0.1805
Trade & Investment12.6912.89+0.2035

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 378, plus 182 carried in. Maintenance 262. Spent 94 on actions (buy 37, partner 56). 204 carried over.

  • PartnerAdvanced Education19 credits for 0.77 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection19 credits for 1.45 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation19 credits for 1.71 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks19 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 0.97 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.83+1.710.000.00+0.12
Investment Attraction & Projection+1.41+1.400.000.00+0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.29+1.280.000.00+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+1.22+1.240.000.00−0.01
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.32+0.330.000.00−0.01
Advanced Education+0.26+0.260.000.000.00