Round 2042
Round 16 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.093 to 12.67.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.67 (+0.093)
- In: 12.57
- Rank by index
- 24
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 272
- In: 269
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.35 | 10.91 | +0.568 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.21 | 11.21 | +0.005 | 4 |
| National Security | 7.80 | 7.84 | +0.040 | 6 → 5 |
| Human Capital | 16.07 | 16.11 | +0.038 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.63 | 12.64 | +0.013 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.30 | 15.30 | −0.002 | 4 |
| Financial Strength | 12.41 | 12.46 | +0.040 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.39 | 13.38 | −0.002 | 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.02 | 14.15 | +0.136 | 5 → 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 405, plus 269 carried in. Maintenance 298. Spent 103 on actions (buy 62, partner 41). 272 carried over.
- PartnerNuclear Deterrence21 credits for 0.69 levelsmctsahead of Air Power by 0 per cent
- BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies21 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access21 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation21 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems21 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. National Security Tier 6 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.67 | +1.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Robotics & Autonomous Systems | +1.66 | +1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | +1.61 | +1.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.82 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Space Technologies | +0.60 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.30 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |