Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 27 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.120 to 12.82.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.82 (+0.120)
- In: 12.70
- Rank by index
- 23
- In: 24
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 268
- In: 243
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.77 | 10.01 | +0.236 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.44 | 11.48 | +0.042 | 5 |
| National Security | 8.04 | 8.10 | +0.061 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.97 | 16.08 | +0.107 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.56 | 12.87 | +0.312 | 5 → 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.52 | 15.54 | +0.019 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.43 | 13.45 | +0.023 | 7 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.64 | 13.78 | +0.139 | 5 → 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.94 | 14.08 | +0.141 | 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 427, plus 243 carried in. Maintenance 297. Spent 105 on actions (build 42, buy 21, partner 42). 268 carried over.
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity21 credits for 0.91 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation21 credits for 1.77 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence21 credits for 1.43 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy21 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEnergy Technologies21 credits for 1.69 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +0.9 points this round.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4; Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +1.70 | +1.69 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.96 | +0.89 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.07 |
| Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy | +0.83 | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.79 | +0.77 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.78 | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Education | +0.49 | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 |