Round 2039
Round 13 of 20 in simulation 27 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.156 to 12.98.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.98 (+0.157)
- In: 12.82
- Rank by index
- 22
- In: 23
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 281
- In: 254
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.01 | 10.46 | +0.450 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.48 | 11.52 | +0.041 | 5 |
| National Security | 8.10 | 8.16 | +0.056 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 16.08 | 16.21 | +0.137 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.87 | 13.19 | +0.315 | 4 → 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.54 | 15.56 | +0.019 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.45 | 13.48 | +0.029 | 7 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.78 | 14.09 | +0.312 | 3 → 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.08 | 14.12 | +0.047 | 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 437, plus 254 carried in. Maintenance 304. Spent 107 on actions (build 21, buy 64, partner 21). 281 carried over.
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion21 credits for 1.61 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 0 per cent
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies21 credits for 1.67 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies21 credits for 1.18 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence21 credits for 1.37 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing21 credits for 1.68 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +0.9 points this round.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3; Production & Innovation Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +1.69 | +1.68 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.68 | +1.67 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.68 | +1.61 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.96 | +0.89 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.07 |
| Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy | +0.83 | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +0.62 | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 |