Round 14 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-index

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 27 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.124 to 13.10.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.10 (+0.124)
In: 12.98
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
272
In: 267
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.4610.69+0.2335
Strategic Infrastructure11.5211.54+0.0205
National Security8.168.19+0.0315
Human Capital16.2116.31+0.0991
Information & Influence13.1913.60+0.4123
Governance & Integrity15.5615.56+0.0023
Financial Strength13.4813.49+0.0127
Production & Innovation14.0914.15+0.0602
Trade & Investment14.1214.37+0.2454

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 428, plus 267 carried in. Maintenance 314. Spent 109 on actions (buy 44, partner 66). 272 carried over.

  • BuyArtificial Intelligence22 credits for 1.56 levelsmctsahead of Global Value Chain Position by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics22 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position22 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks22 credits for 1.38 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance22 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.70+1.560.000.00+0.13
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.66+1.620.000.00+0.04
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.80+0.790.000.00+0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.80+0.790.000.00+0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.72+0.690.000.00+0.03
Space Technologies+0.60+0.590.000.00+0.01