Round 7 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.017 to 11.78.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.78 (−0.017)
In: 11.80
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
176
In: 191
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.007.94−0.0605 → 6
Strategic Infrastructure10.8310.83+0.0085
National Security7.627.68+0.0566
Human Capital15.3015.33+0.0331
Information & Influence11.0811.22+0.1426
Governance & Integrity15.4415.35−0.0903 → 4
Financial Strength12.5412.41−0.1348
Production & Innovation12.8112.74−0.0695
Trade & Investment12.5812.55−0.0336 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 331, plus 191 carried in. Maintenance 253. Spent 93 on actions (buy 19, partner 74). 176 carried over.

  • PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 0.88 levelsmctsahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 1.85 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies19 credits for 1.26 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure19 credits for 1.21 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy19 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −8.3 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 6; Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.83+0.930.00−0.13+0.04
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.78+0.920.00−0.16+0.02
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.69+0.830.00−0.140.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.60+0.610.00−0.07+0.06
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.57+0.650.00−0.070.00
Space Technologies+0.48+0.630.00−0.16+0.01