Round 8 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.016 to 11.80.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.80 (+0.016)
In: 11.78
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
161
In: 167
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.948.23+0.2996 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure10.8310.86+0.0215
National Security7.687.74+0.0656
Human Capital15.3315.33−0.0031
Information & Influence11.2211.37+0.1446
Governance & Integrity15.3515.26−0.0894
Financial Strength12.4112.26−0.1488 → 9
Production & Innovation12.7412.66−0.0835
Trade & Investment12.5512.48−0.0635

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 331, plus 167 carried in. Maintenance 254. Spent 83 on actions (buy 33, partner 50). 161 carried over.

  • PartnerNuclear Deterrence17 credits for 0.55 levelsmctsahead of Air Power by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication17 credits for 1.42 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies17 credits for 1.09 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies17 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies17 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −8.3 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 8 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.40+1.560.00−0.170.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.40+1.530.00−0.140.00
Space Technologies+1.02+1.170.00−0.16+0.02
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.83+0.930.00−0.13+0.03
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.69+0.830.00−0.140.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.58+0.610.00−0.07+0.05