Round 9 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.108 to 11.91.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.91 (+0.108)
In: 11.80
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
190
In: 153
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.238.46+0.2305
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.87+0.0145
National Security7.747.79+0.0476 → 5
Human Capital15.3315.40+0.0741
Information & Influence11.3711.72+0.3556 → 5
Governance & Integrity15.2615.26−0.0024
Financial Strength12.2612.27+0.0099 → 8
Production & Innovation12.6612.70+0.0405
Trade & Investment12.4812.69+0.2025

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 375, plus 153 carried in. Maintenance 257. Spent 83 on actions (build 17, buy 33, partner 33). 190 carried over.

  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity17 credits for 0.76 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection17 credits for 1.35 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance17 credits for 1.44 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks17 credits for 1.23 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing17 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. National Security Tier 6 to 5; Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.55+1.550.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.45+1.440.000.00+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.69+0.710.000.00−0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.69+0.680.000.00+0.01
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.64+0.650.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.64+0.610.000.00+0.02