Round 10 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.105 to 12.01.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.01 (+0.104)
In: 11.91
Rank by index
29
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
206
In: 180
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.468.85+0.3845
Strategic Infrastructure10.8710.87+0.0055
National Security7.797.83+0.0415
Human Capital15.4015.44+0.0361
Information & Influence11.7211.95+0.2235
Governance & Integrity15.2615.26−0.0024
Financial Strength12.2712.28+0.0158
Production & Innovation12.7012.74+0.0405
Trade & Investment12.6912.89+0.2005

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 380, plus 180 carried in. Maintenance 261. Spent 94 on actions (buy 38, partner 56). 206 carried over.

  • PartnerSemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 0.81 levelsmctsahead of Air Power by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence19 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection19 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation19 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks19 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.84+1.720.000.00+0.12
Artificial Intelligence+1.58+1.580.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+1.41+1.400.000.00+0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.29+1.280.000.00+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.41+0.410.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.32+0.330.000.00−0.01