Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.103 to 12.11.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.11 (+0.103)
- In: 12.01
- Rank by index
- 28
- In: 29
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 220
- In: 195
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.85 | 9.11 | +0.260 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.87 | 10.88 | +0.002 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.83 | 7.87 | +0.034 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.44 | 15.46 | +0.024 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.95 | 12.07 | +0.121 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.26 | 15.25 | −0.002 | 4 |
| Financial Strength | 12.28 | 12.29 | +0.010 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.74 | 13.01 | +0.265 | 5 → 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.89 | 13.10 | +0.213 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 387, plus 195 carried in. Maintenance 267. Spent 95 on actions (build 19, buy 38, partner 38). 220 carried over.
- PartnerSemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 0.79 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 0 per cent
- BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies19 credits for 1.69 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education19 credits for 1.13 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion19 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication19 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | +1.69 | +1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.55 | +1.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.80 | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.74 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.73 | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.68 | +0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |