Round 17 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2043

Round 17 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.098 to 12.76.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.76 (+0.098)
In: 12.66
Rank by index
24
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
201
In: 211
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.8511.17+0.3165 → 4
Strategic Infrastructure11.1911.24+0.0594
National Security7.847.87+0.0285
Human Capital16.1816.25+0.0691
Information & Influence12.7513.00+0.2544 → 3
Governance & Integrity15.2915.29−0.0034 → 5
Financial Strength12.3412.35+0.0068
Production & Innovation13.2313.36+0.1344 → 3
Trade & Investment14.2514.27+0.0202

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 393, plus 211 carried in. Maintenance 306. Spent 97 on actions (buy 78, partner 19). 201 carried over.

  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 1.44 levelsmcts
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 1.03 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 0.91 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence19 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure19 credits for 1.08 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 4; Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5; Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2043, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.51+1.330.000.00+0.18
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.03+1.030.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.91+0.910.000.00+0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.76+0.750.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.73+0.720.000.00+0.02
Digital & AI Competence+0.58+0.560.000.00+0.02