Round 2044
Round 18 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.260 to 12.49.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.49 (−0.260)
- In: 12.76
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 24
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 177
- In: 190
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 11.17 | 11.22 | +0.054 | 4 → 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.24 | 11.06 | −0.181 | 4 |
| National Security | 7.87 | 7.89 | +0.029 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 16.25 | 16.17 | −0.083 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.00 | 13.10 | +0.102 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.29 | 15.04 | −0.250 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 12.35 | 11.53 | −0.823 | 8 → 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.36 | 12.79 | −0.569 | 3 → 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.27 | 13.65 | −0.617 | 2 → 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 401, plus 190 carried in. Maintenance 316. Spent 98 on actions (buy 39, partner 59). 177 carried over.
- PartnerSemiconductors & Advanced Computing20 credits for 0.62 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies20 credits for 1.43 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy20 credits for 1.47 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks20 credits for 1.23 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing20 credits for 1.42 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −23.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 4 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 8 to 10; Production & Innovation Tier 3 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.19 | +1.43 | 0.00 | −0.25 | +0.01 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +1.12 | +1.42 | 0.00 | −0.31 | +0.01 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | −1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.14 | +0.03 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | −1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.01 | 0.00 |
| Financial System Depth & Access | −0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.94 | 0.00 |
| Financial Stability & Crisis Management | −0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.91 | 0.00 |