Round 2033
Round 7 of 20 in simulation 13 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.730 to 6.74.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.74 (−0.730)
- In: 7.47
- Rank by index
- 86
- In: 75
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 4
- In: 4
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.38 | 2.99 | −0.382 | 10 → 11 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.90 | 6.91 | −0.989 | 7 → 8 |
| National Security | 4.62 | 4.21 | −0.402 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.59 | 8.09 | −0.506 | 10 → 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.75 | 7.92 | −0.826 | 7 → 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.89 | 8.35 | −0.542 | 14 → 15 |
| Financial Strength | 8.65 | 7.55 | −1.094 | 17 → 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.90 | 7.11 | −0.798 | 14 → 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.56 | 7.53 | −1.034 | 12 → 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 149, plus 4 carried in. Maintenance 116. Spent 33 on actions (build 7, buy 18, partner 7). 4 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.30 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.80 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.84 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection7 credits for 0.80 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence3 credits for 0.38 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −55.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 10 to 11; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 7 to 8; Human Capital Tier 10 to 11; Information & Influence Tier 7 to 8; Governance & Integrity Tier 14 to 15; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 21; Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 16; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 13.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.88 | 0.00 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.64 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.57 | +0.10 | 0.00 | −1.69 | +0.02 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −1.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.59 | +0.02 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | −1.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.54 | 0.00 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −1.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.54 | 0.00 |