Round 2034
Round 8 of 20 in simulation 13 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.049 to 6.79.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.79 (+0.049)
- In: 6.74
- Rank by index
- 85
- In: 86
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 3
- In: 4
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.99 | 3.00 | +0.009 | 11 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.91 | 6.91 | +0.003 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.21 | 4.22 | +0.005 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.09 | 8.18 | +0.092 | 11 → 10 |
| Information & Influence | 7.92 | 7.95 | +0.031 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.35 | 8.35 | −0.006 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.55 | 7.53 | −0.022 | 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.11 | 7.27 | +0.164 | 16 → 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.53 | 7.69 | +0.162 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 130, plus 4 carried in. Maintenance 99. Spent 33 on actions (buy 7, partner 25). 3 carried over.
- PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.53 levelsmctsahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.89 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.97 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation3 credits for 0.41 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 11 to 10; Production & Innovation Tier 16 to 15.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.90 | +0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.49 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.46 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.42 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.36 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.04 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.28 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |