Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 13 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.018 to 5.79.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.79 (+0.017)
- In: 5.77
- Rank by index
- 103
- In: 104
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 32
- In: 30
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.55 | 2.65 | +0.101 | 9 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.92 | 5.90 | −0.020 | 9 |
| National Security | 2.89 | 2.86 | −0.027 | 11 |
| Human Capital | 7.86 | 7.83 | −0.027 | 8 |
| Information & Influence | 6.87 | 6.86 | −0.017 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.22 | 7.20 | −0.018 | 17 |
| Financial Strength | 5.59 | 5.59 | −0.004 | 25 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.29 | 6.31 | +0.024 | 16 → 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 6.74 | 6.88 | +0.145 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 112, plus 30 carried in. Maintenance 79. Spent 32 on actions (buy 6, partner 25). 32 carried over.
- PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity6 credits for 0.46 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 1 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.66 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection6 credits for 0.75 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.41 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access6 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 16 to 15.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.87 | +0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.41 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.37 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.04 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.32 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.05 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.22 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 |