Round 2041
Round 15 of 20 in simulation 13 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.037 to 5.82.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.82 (+0.037)
- In: 5.79
- Rank by index
- 101
- In: 103
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 37
- In: 30
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.65 | 2.78 | +0.129 | 9 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.90 | 5.89 | −0.006 | 9 |
| National Security | 2.86 | 2.87 | +0.003 | 11 |
| Human Capital | 7.83 | 7.81 | −0.024 | 8 |
| Information & Influence | 6.86 | 6.90 | +0.044 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.20 | 7.19 | −0.018 | 17 |
| Financial Strength | 5.59 | 5.64 | +0.053 | 25 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.31 | 6.33 | +0.012 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 6.88 | 7.02 | +0.142 | 13 → 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 115, plus 30 carried in. Maintenance 80. Spent 28 on actions (buy 11, partner 17). 37 carried over.
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection6 credits for 0.66 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.57 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.36 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation6 credits for 0.75 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing6 credits for 0.69 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 12.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.69 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.69 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.57 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.38 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.03 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.38 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.34 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.03 |