Round 16 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 13 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.046 to 5.87.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.87 (+0.047)
In: 5.82
Rank by index
101
In: 101
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
45
In: 35
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.783.11+0.3309 → 8
Strategic Infrastructure5.895.88−0.0109
National Security2.872.86−0.00211
Human Capital7.817.79−0.0198
Information & Influence6.906.96+0.0638
Governance & Integrity7.197.17−0.01717
Financial Strength5.645.67+0.03025 → 24
Production & Innovation6.336.32−0.00515
Trade & Investment7.027.07+0.04712

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 120, plus 35 carried in. Maintenance 81. Spent 29 on actions (buy 29). 45 carried over.

  • BuySpace Technologies6 credits for 0.48 levelsmctsahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.56 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence6 credits for 0.69 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.71 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing6 credits for 0.70 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 9 to 8; Financial Strength Tier 25 to 24.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.85+0.690.000.00+0.16
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.71+0.710.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.70+0.700.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.56+0.560.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.47+0.480.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.37+0.370.000.00−0.01