Round 17 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2043

Round 17 of 20 in simulation 13 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.034 to 5.91.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.91 (+0.034)
In: 5.87
Rank by index
101
In: 101
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
52
In: 43
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.113.33+0.2158
Strategic Infrastructure5.885.87−0.0099
National Security2.862.86+0.00111
Human Capital7.797.77−0.0218
Information & Influence6.966.96−0.0028
Governance & Integrity7.177.15−0.01617
Financial Strength5.675.66−0.00624
Production & Innovation6.326.41+0.09415
Trade & Investment7.077.12+0.04912

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 121, plus 43 carried in. Maintenance 83. Spent 30 on actions (buy 24, partner 6). 52 carried over.

  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication6 credits for 0.70 levelsmctsahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.57 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing6 credits for 0.71 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion6 credits for 0.69 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation6 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2043, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.74+0.740.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.71+0.710.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.70+0.690.000.00+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.57+0.570.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.34+0.350.000.00−0.01
Artificial Intelligence+0.140.000.000.00+0.14