Round 2044
Round 18 of 20 in simulation 13 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.096 to 5.81.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.81 (−0.096)
- In: 5.91
- Rank by index
- 102
- In: 101
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 56
- In: 49
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.33 | 3.43 | +0.100 | 8 → 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.87 | 5.79 | −0.078 | 9 |
| National Security | 2.86 | 2.86 | −0.001 | 11 |
| Human Capital | 7.77 | 7.63 | −0.136 | 8 → 11 |
| Information & Influence | 6.96 | 6.84 | −0.119 | 8 → 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.15 | 7.03 | −0.120 | 17 |
| Financial Strength | 5.66 | 5.48 | −0.185 | 24 → 26 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.41 | 6.24 | −0.171 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.12 | 6.97 | −0.152 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 121, plus 49 carried in. Maintenance 84. Spent 30 on actions (buy 24, partner 6). 56 carried over.
- BuyEnergy Technologies6 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation6 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing6 credits for 0.71 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation6 credits for 0.75 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.56 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −28.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 7; Human Capital Tier 8 to 11; Information & Influence Tier 8 to 9; Financial Strength Tier 24 to 26.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +0.58 | +0.74 | 0.00 | −0.16 | 0.00 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +0.56 | +0.75 | 0.00 | −0.21 | +0.02 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.50 | +0.71 | 0.00 | −0.21 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.34 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.32 | −0.01 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.33 | +0.56 | 0.00 | −0.23 | 0.00 |