Round 7 · simulation 47 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 47 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.080 to 7.51.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.51 (+0.080)
In: 7.43
Rank by index
73
In: 75
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.353.53+0.17110
Strategic Infrastructure7.887.88+0.0017
National Security4.644.65+0.0089
Human Capital8.578.70+0.13510
Information & Influence8.748.88+0.1437
Governance & Integrity8.898.890.00014
Financial Strength8.578.57+0.00617
Production & Innovation7.787.92+0.14814
Trade & Investment8.448.54+0.10712

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 144, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 115. Spent 30 on actions (buy 29, partner 1). 0 carried over.

  • BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 0.93 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.84 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access1 credits for 0.19 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.93+0.930.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.85+0.840.000.00+0.01
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.82+0.820.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.77+0.770.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.65+0.650.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.56+0.560.000.000.00