Round 8 · simulation 47 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 47 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.042 to 7.55.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.55 (+0.041)
In: 7.51
Rank by index
72
In: 73
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.533.65+0.12910 → 9
Strategic Infrastructure7.887.88+0.0037
National Security4.654.66+0.0099
Human Capital8.708.76+0.06010 → 8
Information & Influence8.888.92+0.0387
Governance & Integrity8.898.890.00014
Financial Strength8.578.58+0.00517
Production & Innovation7.927.95+0.02814
Trade & Investment8.548.65+0.10612

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 145. Maintenance 117. Spent 27 on actions (buy 7, partner 20). 1 carried over.

  • PartnerSemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.49 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.90 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.81 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection3 credits for 0.32 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation3 credits for 0.38 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 10 to 9; Human Capital Tier 10 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.90+0.900.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.48+0.480.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.40+0.400.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.24+0.240.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.19+0.190.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.16+0.160.000.000.00